Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 1050.924586 1207.802737 1389.050520 1616.058026 1895.791166 2233.255025 2.677444e+03
2024-10-13 806.266907 994.235730 1233.873966 1569.313833 2039.516031 2696.214452 3.724009e+03
2024-10-20 682.831434 876.812926 1138.846503 1531.569208 2129.862933 3053.645055 4.696364e+03
2024-10-27 589.342184 779.537257 1047.741408 1471.289411 2160.559274 3316.931984 5.616764e+03
2024-11-03 549.475069 748.560774 1041.729181 1530.419974 2383.732747 3953.726646 7.516242e+03
2024-11-10 511.734332 714.379365 1023.817013 1564.131181 2568.280221 4579.946636 9.775024e+03
2024-11-17 477.826633 681.121849 1001.440380 1584.136309 2730.052721 5217.424649 1.252926e+04
2024-11-24 441.225260 639.271511 959.108507 1560.314762 2798.713063 5675.968234 1.517723e+04
2024-12-01 419.353942 618.407537 948.654536 1592.464006 2990.379304 6508.705817 1.994575e+04
2024-12-08 404.155322 606.665179 951.951667 1650.860900 3255.386479 7664.709294 2.766616e+04
2024-12-15 385.506756 587.172936 938.890272 1673.707963 3443.715905 8706.191149 3.690824e+04
2024-12-22 364.935165 562.481658 913.465580 1666.297885 3555.149064 9572.560268 4.732706e+04
2024-12-29 350.938674 549.136215 909.736320 1710.062725 3829.642758 11255.823153 7.034995e+04
2025-01-05 326.719889 515.777272 864.590535 1654.690267 3817.187893 11861.919597 8.731035e+04
2025-01-12 306.837489 488.639319 828.754694 1615.049084 3840.432033 12655.294351 1.122477e+05
2025-01-19 286.310714 458.854187 784.935195 1550.198769 3770.834551 12999.321310 1.345961e+05
2025-01-26 280.194244 455.247657 793.423814 1613.684900 4130.579971 15820.786835 2.463119e+05
2025-02-02 271.910020 446.858453 791.117036 1649.885247 4416.237670 18640.251840 4.556419e+05
2025-02-09 262.965995 436.507238 783.592830 1671.380798 4660.950674 21599.269161 8.969705e+05
2025-02-16 250.933853 419.336989 759.850480 1645.786270 4722.041641 23409.294771 1.550365e+06
2025-02-23 244.406790 412.516494 758.028221 1680.330354 5037.102649 27829.608575 4.949359e+06
2025-03-02 240.245489 410.070088 765.624116 1743.121558 5503.088593 34825.412350 5.471678e+07
2025-03-09 233.667917 402.284387 760.371863 1767.703173 5817.048691 41312.918583 9.899406e+12